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NWS Warns 40 States ‘Even Colder’ By Sunday With 15 Below Zero

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Picture your Thursday morning commute. It’s 6 a.m. in Des Moines, and when you step outside, the thermometer doesn’t just read below zero—it might hit -12°F, potentially the coldest temperature the city has ever recorded this early in December.

That’s not winter knocking politely at the door. That’s winter shouldering its way in, and it’s bringing a message: this isn’t normal. This is history in the making. Over 235 million Americans are bracing for what meteorologists are calling one of the most dangerous cold snaps to arrive this time of year.

First Week of Winter Hits Like a Gut Punch

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Meteorological winter officially kicks off on December 1st. By that first full week, what’s unfolding across the nation feels less like a seasonal transition and more like a planetary reset. The National Weather Service is warning that 40 states—nearly three-quarters of the country—will be engulfed by this arctic siege by Sunday.

Now comes a sobering assessment from The Weather Channel: “As if the Thanksgiving blast of cold air wasn’t enough, an even colder shot of arctic air will dive into the country by the end of the week, bringing even colder temperatures.”

From Oklahoma to the Northeast

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What makes this arctic blast unusual is its geographic reach. By Thursday morning, the cold front will plunge into Oklahoma—a state more accustomed to crisp fall weather than subzero Arctic onslaughts. The Texas Panhandle, Oklahoma City, and the surrounding region will struggle to break freezing.

By Friday, single-digit temperatures will blanket the Midwest from the Dakotas through Wisconsin and Iowa, while the I-95 corridor will wake to temperatures in the upper teens and low 20s.​

The Midwest Faces Below-Zero Mornings

Extreme Cold Grips Much Of The U S Connecticut Public
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Chicago, Milwaukee, and Des Moines face a particularly daunting challenge: high temperatures that refuse to rise above zero for an entire week. Not today. Not tomorrow. Not once. For seven consecutive days, temperatures in these major cities won’t drop below freezing.

The wind chills will feel even more savage—northern Montana will experience conditions making it feel 20 to 30 degrees below zero. Anyone working outside, anyone with a long commute, anyone without shelter: this is an emergency in slow motion.

Record-Breaking Cold Could Shatter Decades of Weather History

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Meteorologists across the country are penciling in dozens of cities for historic record-breaking low temperatures. Des Moines’ potential -12°F would be the coldest ever recorded this early in the season. Cedar Rapids, La Crosse, Green Bay, Detroit, Milwaukee, Baltimore, Philadelphia, and New York City are all at risk of seeing their daily record lows demolished.

Even more alarming, the record cold high temperatures—meaning the afternoon highs themselves will break records for being too cold—could fall in places from Missouri to Michigan. ​

Why Thursday and Friday Matter Most

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Thursday morning marks the peak of danger. Meteorologists pinpoint this as the day the coldest air truly settles in across the Great Plains and Midwest. Friday extends that threat eastward, dragging the bone-chilling temperatures across the Ohio Valley and up the entire I-95 corridor.

By Friday night, much of the eastern seaboard will face its coldest morning in weeks. For vulnerable populations—the elderly, the homeless, those in inadequate housing—these 48 hours could mean the difference between discomfort and crisis.

The Polar Vortex Explanation

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At the heart of this chaos is a disrupted polar vortex. Usually, this ring of cold air stays locked in the Arctic. But when it weakens and fractures, pieces of it plunge southward like water overflowing a dam.

This year’s La Niña climate pattern is amplifying that effect, creating a perfect storm of frigid air that continues to arrive in waves.​

235 Million Under Freeze

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By the start of next week, 235 million Americans will experience temperatures at or below freezing. That’s not just a number. That’s entire families debating whether to let the heat run continuously to prevent pipe bursts. That’s small business owners worried about losing inventory. That’s outdoor workers facing impossible choices between their paycheck and their safety.

Emergency rooms will likely see a spike in cold-related injuries—such as hypothermia, frostbite, and falls on ice—as people navigate these treacherous conditions.

Travel Chaos and Holiday Season Disruption

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The cold arrives during one of America’s busiest travel periods. Major airports in Chicago, Minneapolis, Detroit, New York, and Philadelphia typically handle hundreds of thousands of passengers weekly. Subzero temperatures and the accompanying weather systems are triggering widespread flight delays and cancellations.

Industry analysts say that thousands of flights could be disrupted over the next week. For families hoping to gather for early December celebrations, for workers with non-negotiable schedules, the timing couldn’t be worse.

Lake-Effect Regions Brace for More

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One silver lining: this arctic system is relatively dry. Most affected regions won’t see significant snowfall—just light dustings or minor accumulations in the far north. But the Great Lakes region, where cold Arctic air rushes over relatively warmer lake waters, could see lake-effect snow pile up quickly.

For cities like Buffalo and Cleveland, as well as other snowbelt communities, this cold snap means an increased snowfall risk in the coming days.

The Economic Ripple Effect

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When an arctic blast this extensive hits the nation, the economic consequences spread rapidly. Heating costs spike for 20 to 30 million households in the affected zone. Businesses lose productivity as employees call out or arrive late due to dangerous conditions. Supply chains strain under the weight of logistics disruptions.

Infrastructure that wasn’t designed for this kind of extended cold faces stress—water mains freeze, electrical demand peaks, heating systems fail. ​

A Preview of What’s Ahead

Frozen suburban area of Albert Lea MN captured from above in winter
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This isn’t an isolated cold snap. According to NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, cold and snowy conditions are expected to persist through much of December.

MIT climatologist Judah Cohen warns that mid-December could bring even more extreme cold, with temperatures 15 to 20 degrees below December averages, potentially extending into late December as the polar vortex continues its southern dive. Winter arrived early, arrived angry, and may not relent for weeks.

Sunday’s Full Freeze

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By Sunday, when all 40 states are under freeze warnings or advisories, the Nation will be in deep crisis mode. Schools may close. Road treatment becomes impossible once temperatures drop this low—salt stops working below -10°F. Nonprofits, churches, and warming centers will be taxed to their limits.

The National Weather Service is already urging Americans to prepare—insulate pipes, stock up on supplies, check on neighbors, and understand that stepping outside carelessly could pose a real danger.

The Storm After the Calm

A typical winter La Ni a pattern as it affects the United States
Photo by NOAA Climate gov on Wikimedia

Winter’s arrival in December 2025 will be remembered. This isn’t just cold weather. This is the kind of extreme event that reshapes a season’s narrative. For meteorologists, it confirms what long-range models predicted in November: La Niña was on the way, the polar vortex would weaken, and December would open with a vengeance.

For ordinary Americans? It means bundling up in ways they haven’t had to for years, preparing their homes, and understanding that the next 10 days will test both infrastructure and nerve. Winter has officially begun, and it’s holding nothing back.

Sources:
FOX Weather, “Arctic blast to chill more than 235 million, as air from Polar Vortex surges across US”
FOX5 DC / FOX Weather, “Arctic blast ushers in freezing, potentially record cold for 235 million Americans”
NY Post, “Northeast set to be blasted by ‘most extreme cold on Earth’ before Christmas”
Cleveland Clinic, “Staying Safe During Arctic Blast